About Our Analysis

Learn about our methodology, data sources, and the team behind Property Analytics London.

Advertisement Banner (Google AdSense)

Our Methodology

Property Analytics uses a cross-sectional factor-based approach to analyse the London real estate market, similar to the MSCI Barra model widely used in equity market analysis. This methodology allows us to decompose property returns into specific factors that drive market prices.

Factor Model Development

Our model was developed through rigorous statistical analysis of London property transaction data from 1995. We employed multiple regression techniques to identify the key factors that consistently explain variations in property prices across different market cycles.

Factor Selection Process

We started with a comprehensive set of potential factors and systematically eliminated those with low explanatory power or high correlation with other factors. The final model includes 7 factors that collectively provide a robust framework for understanding London property prices:

  • Baseline market return
  • Total floor area
  • New build premium
  • Non-linear floor area
  • Number of habitable rooms
  • Energy efficiency
  • Construction period

Model Validation

We validated our model through out-of-sample testing, comparing its predictions against actual market transactions. The model demonstrates strong predictive power across different property types, locations, and market conditions.

Factor Correlation

One way we assess the robustness of the factor model is by looking at their pairplot. We make sure their correlation is low, which is an indication of good quality factors.

Pairwise correlation of factors

Data Sources

Our analysis is based on a comprehensive dataset of London property transactions and related information from multiple authoritative sources:

Primary Data Sources

  • HM Land Registry Price Paid Data
  • Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) data
  • Office for National Statistics (ONS) housing data
  • London Datastore housing and planning data
  • UK House Price Index

Supplementary Data

  • Bank of England interest rate data
  • UK Census demographic data
  • Transport for London accessibility data
  • Local planning authority records
  • Historical economic indicators

Data Processing

The raw data underwent extensive cleaning, normalization, and integration to create a unified dataset suitable for factor analysis. We employed various statistical techniques to handle missing values, outliers, and data inconsistencies.

Data Limitations

While our dataset is comprehensive, it has certain limitations:

In-content Advertisement (Google AdSense)

About the Team

Property Analytics London was developed by a team of data scientists, economists, and real estate professionals passionate about bringing data-driven insights to the London property market.

Our Expertise

Our team combines expertise in:

  • Quantitative finance and factor modeling
  • Real estate economics and valuation
  • Data science and statistical analysis
  • Machine learning and predictive modeling
  • London property market dynamics

Our Mission

We believe that better data leads to better decisions. Our mission is to democratize access to sophisticated property market analysis, helping homebuyers, investors, and property professionals make more informed decisions in the London real estate market.

Contact Us

Have questions about our methodology, data sources, or upcoming property analysis tool? We'd love to hear from you.

Join Our Waitlist